The earnings parade for oil giants like Exxon and Chevron had more thrills and spills than a summer blockbuster! While surging upstream profits provided box office hits, refining duds stole the spotlight:
Refining Wrecked Downstream Profits
• Sinking gasoline/diesel margins decimated "downstream" earnings across the board
• Even majors like Exxon, BP and Shell couldn't escape the refining rout
• Signals more volatility could be coming for these cash cow businesses
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But the real drama was all the strategic moves to pump up future production:
Exxon's $60B Deal Pumps Up Output
• Gobbling up shale giant Pioneer instantly turbocharged output forecasts 13%!
• Exxon now sees 2024 production hitting 4.3 million barrels per day
Chevron's $53B Hess Buy Hits a Roadblock
• Exxon threw a legal grenade at the deal by invoking rights over lucrative Guyana assets
• The arbitration battle means the game-changing acquisition is now delayed over a year
California, You're Fired!
• In a bold pivot, Chevron announced it's abandoning the state for a Houston headquarters
• Exxon and Chevron are both shifting operations from California's strict climate policies
Despite the refining pains, shareholders stayed showered in gains:
Buyback Bonanza Continues
• With oil prices elevated, share repurchases remained excessive
• Exxon's leading the pack with a $19 billion buyback blitz!
While exciting upstream growth lies ahead if M&A clears, the bumpy road won't be free of potholes:
Potential Pitfalls
• More legal battles could disrupt the strategic dealmaking
• The Cali exodus brings regulatory/operational transition risks
• If refining stays slumped, it could counter any upstream windfall
Big risks, big rewards - it's setting up to be a Hollywood-worthy drama for oil investors as these titans reshape their futures!
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